I need to add a few things to yesterday's post that are obviously missing. It's been bothering me all day please just bear with me.
First, I never even calculated the expected value of the random binomial method. That can be defined as:
np = 100 * (0.3) = 30 * 60k Bell Profit = 1,800,000 Bells Just from that, its clear this method isn't expected to profit as much as our linear method.
Second, one simulation?? I have let you, the reader, down. Let's see 1,000 simulations.
Mmmm a nice sweet normal(ish) curve. The mean of our simulations was a little greater than the expected value, coming in at 1,811,8200 Bells. Still worse than burying 10k Bells, the conclusion stands!
Ok thank you for bearing with me, it was really bothering me that I left those out.
I got dunkin donuts again this morning. I really think it's the best commuter coffee you can get. It's just the perfect level of tolerable to wake me up on the train and not good enough to make me feel like I'm wasting a good cup of coffee on a boring work commute.
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I've been listening to To Love Somebody by Holly Humberstone on repeat. I can't wait for her new album, I'm sure I'll be normal about it.
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